bigdogg
02-03-2007, 11:18 AM
Chris Ado for Santa Anita Saturday
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ado's picks for today. He usually hits one or two of these at a price that is sufficient to show a profit for the day. Last week, he had a 10-1 shot that won and then he finished out of the money on the others. GL
Christopher Ado’s Santa Anita Handicap
Spot Play Selections, Analysis, and Wagering Strategies
Santa Anita, February 3, 2006
Today’s Action from Santa Anita: I will highlight and play races 5, 6, 7, and 8. In addition, I
will put together $48 into the Pick 4 (Races 7-10)
Race 5: Claiming $10,000 to $9,000, 6 Furlongs, Four year olds and upward NEIMAN THE
SAINT (#8, 8-1) could be grossly overlooked because he is being trained by Keith
Craigmyle and ridden by ten pound apprentice Eulices Gomez and exit’s a third place finish
beaten four and half lengths tiring through the third in his most recent start over the Santa
Anita main track. What separates this horse from the rest is the fact that this Western Fame
gelding has run fast enough that exceeds the par for this class level, has a versatile
running style that can allow him to duel for the lead or sit just off the expected quick pace
and won, and now stretches out to six furlongs where he is three for seven in his career
while he is zero for four at other distances. Despite being winless in four starts over the
Santa Anita main track, he was very unlucky not to win on October 27 during the Oak Tree
meeting. He was inside of a three horse speed duel with long shot Excessatory and Desert
Smoke through fractions of 21.29 and 44.32 seconds.
He was able to win the fight for the early lead opening a two length lead at mid stretch, and
it required the entire length of the stretch for the eventual winner, Espresso Love, to catch
this dark bay at the wire. What made that defeat so impressive was not only did his two
pace rivals weaken to cross the finish line fourth and seventh respectively but also the
opening quarter and half mile fractions he set under pressure were the fastest of the four
sprints on that card making his effort look even more impressive. He made his next start for
new trainer Keith Craigmyle stretching back out to six furlongs and was able to win the
battle for the lead disposing of his pace rival Rockin Rambo approaching the quarter pole
and drawing away defeating subsequent next time out winner Switzerland earning a Beyer
Speed Figure of 80 that is very close to par for this class level (Beyer par 83). He eclipsed
that effort with an even more impressive victory on December 7 proving that he is not just aone dimensional front runner earning a Beyer Speed Figure of 86 that exceeds par for this
class level showing a new dimension. He was allowed to settle off the pace racing along
the rail through a 22.48 second opening quarter. He moved up along the rail around the
turn, angled off it entering the stretch, and worn down the loose leader while exchanging
bumps with him to win by a neck proving that he is more than just a pace presser or front
runner. He cut back to five and half furlongs last time out dropping in class to face
California bred only $10,000 claiming company and did not run as bad as his four and half
length margin of defeat would indicate. He was forced to chase the fastest opening quarter
and second half mile fraction of the five sprints on the program set by Mud Light. He moved
up to challenge and rightfully tired after chasing such an enervating pace in a excusable
effort. He stretches out to his best distance and can patiently sit just off the pace off the
plethora of cheap early speed by the likes of Whata Soldier, High Z, Senator Matty, and
The Missile Came. If his rider allows those speed types to battle them into submission,
patiently bide his time, he can make that winning move to get the jump on Lite Man and
prove a stubborn foe to beat as he is meets the profile of the morning line favorite with the
exception that he is 8-1 on the morning line while Lite Man is the morning line favorite.
Wagering Strategies:
Play the (8) NEIMAN THE SAINT to WIN (Minimum fair odds of 4-1 or better) Trifecta partwheel:
8 over 2, 3, 6, 10 over 2, 3, 6, 10 = $12 for a $1 Wager Trifecta part-wheel: 2, 3, 6,
10 over 8 over 2, 3, 6, 10 = $12 for a $1 Wager
Race 6: Maiden Special Weight, 6-½ Furlongs Turf, Four year olds and upward
WESTERLY MAGIC (#7, 8-1) is making his first start off a layoff of three hundred and ten
days but this Way West gelding does not exit the January 6 maiden special weight event
down the hillside that earned a sub par Beyer Speed Figure of 75 making this race ripe for
a horse returning off a layoff for the meet’s hottest trainer, John Sadler and with the likes of
Father Sky and World Asunder, he should be able to sit back and make one patent late run
under Julien Leparoux. Though he has failed to hit the board in his two most recent starts
over the Santa Anita turf course he has had legitimate excuses where he was unable to be
competitive. He managed to split his twelve horse field on March 4 here at Santa Anita but
had no chance as he was forced wide around the first turn and was unable to get over to
the inside to save ground continuing to race wide down the backstretch as the eventual
winner, Thunder Bluff, was able to get away through a pedestrian early fractions of 50.04
seconds for half mile and six furlongs in 1:14.86 seconds. Losing valuable ground from
start to finish, racing over a good turf course, and not getting a sufficient amount of pace to
run at he managed to split his twelve horse field in a inconclusive performance. He
returned twenty-six days later in a one mile maiden event on the turf and once again fell
victim of the lack of sufficient amount of pace to set it up for his late kick finishing fourth in a
better than looked performance. He was hard held off the pace to save ground into the first
turn and down the backstretch sitting on the rail as the eventual winner, Corey County, was
allowed to walk on a leisurely early lead through walking fractions of a half mile in 49.27
seconds and six furlongs in a snail like 1:13.54 seconds.
He came off the rail while wide into the stretch and finished as best as he could under the
circumstances to be a good fourth in a race where the horses that crossed the finish line
first and third were one-two after the first half mile in a productive “key” race that saw the
winner and the runner up both returned to win in this productive event. He makes his first
start with blinkers for a trainer that has won only 12 of his last 93 starters returning off a
layoff of more than one hundred and twenty days but comes into this race having trained
exceptionally well according to National Turf’s John Wilson who covers Santa Anita for
National Turf. He caught this bay gelding working six furlongs in 1:13 that was the second
fastest of nineteen where he “caught the eye here while kicking 10 lengths clear of One
Last Graf striding with some late purpose in 47.4, 1:12.4. Comes back well,”
and came back to conclude preparations with a five furlong work out in 1:01 flat where he
this was a “Nice looking drill working solo this morning under some late restraint while
going the last 4 in 23.3, 47.1. Quite nice off the break.” Training splendidly for his return
and if allowed to settle to make one last run under Eclipse Award winning apprentice in the
irons looks set to graduate as the only time this rider hooked up with Sadler they won
scoring with Count Orange (December 18, $12.80) and hopefully they can continue their
success at what could be a very generous price considering the lack of a stand out in this
event.
Wagering Strategies:
Play the (7) WESTERLY MAGIC to WIN (Minimum fair odds of 5-1 or better) Trifecta partwheel:
7 over 3, 6, 9, 10, 12 over 3, 6, 9, 10, 12 = $20 for a
$1 Wager
Trifecta part-wheel: 3, 6, 9, 10, 12 over 7 over 3, 6, 9, 10, 12 = $20 for a
$1 Wager
Race 7: G3 Sham, 1-1/8 Miles, Three year olds KOLO (#7, 12-1) will make his first start on
the main track but is drawn perfectly towards the outside to stay away from getting kick
back in his face and should fall into a perfect trip stalking either Liquidity from his inside and
Song Navarone and get first run on Ravel and Pirate Deputy where he comes into this
event having won his last two starts going long on the turf and is much better than his
speed figures would suggest. After finding trouble in his first two starts, he made his third
career start a winning one with a visually impressive maiden win under a perfect trip and
ride from jockey Jose Valdivia Jr. In that race, he was allowed to patiently sit just off the
pace stalking the pace in third along the rail in the perfect spot down the backstretch. He
swung out for room into the stretch, split horses at the top of the lane, hit the front past mid
stretch, and drew away impressively in a strong victory that saw the fourth place finisher,
Fast Corredor, come back to break his maiden in his next race proving it to be productive
event. He took on winners for the first time in the Eddie Logan Stakes while being reeled
back in only sixteen days and plenty of gameness to defeat a strong field in what has
returned to be a productive “key” race event. He got a perfect trip as he was able to use his
early speed to sit just off the flank of the expected pacesetter Law Breaker pressing him in
the two path through walking early fractions for the first half mile in
24.18 seconds and a half mile in 49.60 seconds. He continued pressing the leader in the
two path around the far turn, then fought on gamely with that rival to grab the lead past mid
stretch, and held off the late rally of long shot Mystery Island to win. The final speed figure
this race earned was the result of the walking fractions and the strength of his win in the
Eddie Logan was validated when the third place finisher, Law Breaker, came back to win
Allowance N1X on the main track on January 19 and the seventh place finisher Hot Wired
came back to win $40,000 claiming event on the main track on January 18 making this
event a productive “key” event. After two races in a span of less than three weeks, this dark
bay colt by Dynaformer has wisely been given time off to recuperate explaining the thirty
five day hiatus and has continued to hold his form according to National Turf’s Andy
Harrington who covers Hollywood Park. He work five furlongs over their Cushion Track in
1:01 flat where he “moved up one a horse going in another drill finishing in his usual steady
manner, light restraint while going the last 4 furlongs in 48.3. Holding course fine.” The
stalking or pace pressing style will ensure he is all over what appears to be a moderate to
tepid early pace to ensure a clean trip and note from two mounts for trainer Carla Gaines
jockey Jose Valdivia is perfect from as many starts and hopefully that trend can continue as
this dark bay colt has the potential to continue to improve to be good enough to be on the
road to the 2007 Kentucky Derby. If he wins then hop aboard the band wagon with me.
Wagering Strategies:
Play the (7) KOLO to WIN (Minimum fair odds of 5-1 or better) Main Exactas: 7-3 and 7-6.
Small reverse.
Race 8: Thunder Road Handicap, 1-Mile Turf, Four year olds and upward BAYEUX (#8,10-1) is a horse that has found new lease on life after failing to hit the board in his first six
starts last year he went on two win four of ten starts last year including three Handicap
event over three different surfaces and concluded this excellent year by winning the G3
River City Handicap at 23-1 and makes his Southern California debut for trainer Patrick
Biancone with a good pace scenario to set up for his late kick that was so affectively in his
only victory in North America. He is adaptable to any surface or race course as evidenced
by his four wins last year. He won over the all weather surface in Wolverhampton and Ling
Field in his first two wins of last year. He came back and a six furlong sprint down a straight
at Hamilton on the turf course in his third win of last year and narrowly missed his fourth
win by a neck over at Goodwood over a right handed course to be second carrying one
hundred thirty three pounds spotting the winner nine pounds. Though he failed to capture
or finish in the money in a Group Stakes in Europe, he had solid form coming into his U.S.
debut in the G3 River City Handicap and overcame a less than ideal trip to score the length
and a half victory at 23-1 in what has returned to be a strong race. In that event, the Red
Ransom gelding found himself in congestion early racing between Erronous ID and
Courtnall tracking the leisurely early pace set by long shot Chief Export. Continuing to race
between those two horses down the backstretch and around the far turn, he angled off
them towards the outside entering the stretch spotting the leader a length and half
advantage and worn down that rival in deep stretch to pull clear covering his final three
furlongs in a excellent 35.38 seconds and covering his final furlong in
11.73 seconds. The strength of his G3 victory was validated when the third place finisher,
Ballast, captured the G3 Tropical Turf Handicap on December
2 at Calder Race Course earning a Beyer Speed Figure of 98 in the process.
Though he is making his first start off a layoff of ninety two days, he won in the River City
Handicap off a layoff of two months and finished fourth beaten only two and quarter lengths
in a twenty seven horse field off a layoff of more than six weeks back in June at Ascot.
Moreover, National Turf’s Andy Harrington has been impressed by what this bay turned in
his morning work outs to put him on his Ready to Roll list for this event. He worked five
furlongs in 59.4 on January 23 over Hollywood Park’s Cushion Track where he recorded a
“Monster drill best over Kitty Hawk (48.0) to the wire going 35.4, 59.1 finishing huge while
working 6 furlongs on out watch in 111.1. Terrific prospect,” and concluded with a sharp
half mile move in
46.4 that was the best of 31 that morning where he “Was reaching out like a good thing in
this solo 1/2 mile over looking right on edge in 35.3, 47.2.
Doing well.” Though he is winless in six starts at the one mile distance, he will receive
plenty of pace to set up for his late kick with Cervelo being forwardly placed on or close to
the pace likely set by Sweet Return with Night Chapter being forwardly placed sitting this
race ripe for a closer with class and a excellent late at Bayeux fits that profile as our long
shot most probable winner and BEST BET on the card but do not expect to get close to his
10-1 on the morning line as he is my second choice on my morning line.
Wagering Strategies:
Play the (8) BAYEUX to WIN (Minimum fair odds of 7-2 or better) Trifecta part-wheel: 8
over 1, 4, 5, 9 over 1, 4, 5, 9 = $12 for a $1 Wager Trifecta part-wheel: 1, 4, 5, 9 over 8
over 1, 4, 5, 9 = $12 for a $1 Wager
Santa Anita Race 7 Pick 4
Race 7: (1) Ravel, (3) Time Squared, (6) Liquidity, (7) Kolo Race 8: (1a) Charmo, (4) Boule
d’ Or, (8) Bayeux, (9) Toasted Race 9: (6) MIDNIGHT LUTE Race 10: (3) Jake La Gold, (7)
Hurry Home Warren, (10) Beyond the Rain
Main Ticket: 1, 3, 6, 7 / 1, 4, 8, 9 / 6 / 3, 7, 10 = 4 x 4 x 1 x 3 x $1 =
$48
PICK SIX SINGLES
BAYEUX (Race Eight, 10-1)
MIDNIGHT LUTE (Race Nine, 9-5)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ado's picks for today. He usually hits one or two of these at a price that is sufficient to show a profit for the day. Last week, he had a 10-1 shot that won and then he finished out of the money on the others. GL
Christopher Ado’s Santa Anita Handicap
Spot Play Selections, Analysis, and Wagering Strategies
Santa Anita, February 3, 2006
Today’s Action from Santa Anita: I will highlight and play races 5, 6, 7, and 8. In addition, I
will put together $48 into the Pick 4 (Races 7-10)
Race 5: Claiming $10,000 to $9,000, 6 Furlongs, Four year olds and upward NEIMAN THE
SAINT (#8, 8-1) could be grossly overlooked because he is being trained by Keith
Craigmyle and ridden by ten pound apprentice Eulices Gomez and exit’s a third place finish
beaten four and half lengths tiring through the third in his most recent start over the Santa
Anita main track. What separates this horse from the rest is the fact that this Western Fame
gelding has run fast enough that exceeds the par for this class level, has a versatile
running style that can allow him to duel for the lead or sit just off the expected quick pace
and won, and now stretches out to six furlongs where he is three for seven in his career
while he is zero for four at other distances. Despite being winless in four starts over the
Santa Anita main track, he was very unlucky not to win on October 27 during the Oak Tree
meeting. He was inside of a three horse speed duel with long shot Excessatory and Desert
Smoke through fractions of 21.29 and 44.32 seconds.
He was able to win the fight for the early lead opening a two length lead at mid stretch, and
it required the entire length of the stretch for the eventual winner, Espresso Love, to catch
this dark bay at the wire. What made that defeat so impressive was not only did his two
pace rivals weaken to cross the finish line fourth and seventh respectively but also the
opening quarter and half mile fractions he set under pressure were the fastest of the four
sprints on that card making his effort look even more impressive. He made his next start for
new trainer Keith Craigmyle stretching back out to six furlongs and was able to win the
battle for the lead disposing of his pace rival Rockin Rambo approaching the quarter pole
and drawing away defeating subsequent next time out winner Switzerland earning a Beyer
Speed Figure of 80 that is very close to par for this class level (Beyer par 83). He eclipsed
that effort with an even more impressive victory on December 7 proving that he is not just aone dimensional front runner earning a Beyer Speed Figure of 86 that exceeds par for this
class level showing a new dimension. He was allowed to settle off the pace racing along
the rail through a 22.48 second opening quarter. He moved up along the rail around the
turn, angled off it entering the stretch, and worn down the loose leader while exchanging
bumps with him to win by a neck proving that he is more than just a pace presser or front
runner. He cut back to five and half furlongs last time out dropping in class to face
California bred only $10,000 claiming company and did not run as bad as his four and half
length margin of defeat would indicate. He was forced to chase the fastest opening quarter
and second half mile fraction of the five sprints on the program set by Mud Light. He moved
up to challenge and rightfully tired after chasing such an enervating pace in a excusable
effort. He stretches out to his best distance and can patiently sit just off the pace off the
plethora of cheap early speed by the likes of Whata Soldier, High Z, Senator Matty, and
The Missile Came. If his rider allows those speed types to battle them into submission,
patiently bide his time, he can make that winning move to get the jump on Lite Man and
prove a stubborn foe to beat as he is meets the profile of the morning line favorite with the
exception that he is 8-1 on the morning line while Lite Man is the morning line favorite.
Wagering Strategies:
Play the (8) NEIMAN THE SAINT to WIN (Minimum fair odds of 4-1 or better) Trifecta partwheel:
8 over 2, 3, 6, 10 over 2, 3, 6, 10 = $12 for a $1 Wager Trifecta part-wheel: 2, 3, 6,
10 over 8 over 2, 3, 6, 10 = $12 for a $1 Wager
Race 6: Maiden Special Weight, 6-½ Furlongs Turf, Four year olds and upward
WESTERLY MAGIC (#7, 8-1) is making his first start off a layoff of three hundred and ten
days but this Way West gelding does not exit the January 6 maiden special weight event
down the hillside that earned a sub par Beyer Speed Figure of 75 making this race ripe for
a horse returning off a layoff for the meet’s hottest trainer, John Sadler and with the likes of
Father Sky and World Asunder, he should be able to sit back and make one patent late run
under Julien Leparoux. Though he has failed to hit the board in his two most recent starts
over the Santa Anita turf course he has had legitimate excuses where he was unable to be
competitive. He managed to split his twelve horse field on March 4 here at Santa Anita but
had no chance as he was forced wide around the first turn and was unable to get over to
the inside to save ground continuing to race wide down the backstretch as the eventual
winner, Thunder Bluff, was able to get away through a pedestrian early fractions of 50.04
seconds for half mile and six furlongs in 1:14.86 seconds. Losing valuable ground from
start to finish, racing over a good turf course, and not getting a sufficient amount of pace to
run at he managed to split his twelve horse field in a inconclusive performance. He
returned twenty-six days later in a one mile maiden event on the turf and once again fell
victim of the lack of sufficient amount of pace to set it up for his late kick finishing fourth in a
better than looked performance. He was hard held off the pace to save ground into the first
turn and down the backstretch sitting on the rail as the eventual winner, Corey County, was
allowed to walk on a leisurely early lead through walking fractions of a half mile in 49.27
seconds and six furlongs in a snail like 1:13.54 seconds.
He came off the rail while wide into the stretch and finished as best as he could under the
circumstances to be a good fourth in a race where the horses that crossed the finish line
first and third were one-two after the first half mile in a productive “key” race that saw the
winner and the runner up both returned to win in this productive event. He makes his first
start with blinkers for a trainer that has won only 12 of his last 93 starters returning off a
layoff of more than one hundred and twenty days but comes into this race having trained
exceptionally well according to National Turf’s John Wilson who covers Santa Anita for
National Turf. He caught this bay gelding working six furlongs in 1:13 that was the second
fastest of nineteen where he “caught the eye here while kicking 10 lengths clear of One
Last Graf striding with some late purpose in 47.4, 1:12.4. Comes back well,”
and came back to conclude preparations with a five furlong work out in 1:01 flat where he
this was a “Nice looking drill working solo this morning under some late restraint while
going the last 4 in 23.3, 47.1. Quite nice off the break.” Training splendidly for his return
and if allowed to settle to make one last run under Eclipse Award winning apprentice in the
irons looks set to graduate as the only time this rider hooked up with Sadler they won
scoring with Count Orange (December 18, $12.80) and hopefully they can continue their
success at what could be a very generous price considering the lack of a stand out in this
event.
Wagering Strategies:
Play the (7) WESTERLY MAGIC to WIN (Minimum fair odds of 5-1 or better) Trifecta partwheel:
7 over 3, 6, 9, 10, 12 over 3, 6, 9, 10, 12 = $20 for a
$1 Wager
Trifecta part-wheel: 3, 6, 9, 10, 12 over 7 over 3, 6, 9, 10, 12 = $20 for a
$1 Wager
Race 7: G3 Sham, 1-1/8 Miles, Three year olds KOLO (#7, 12-1) will make his first start on
the main track but is drawn perfectly towards the outside to stay away from getting kick
back in his face and should fall into a perfect trip stalking either Liquidity from his inside and
Song Navarone and get first run on Ravel and Pirate Deputy where he comes into this
event having won his last two starts going long on the turf and is much better than his
speed figures would suggest. After finding trouble in his first two starts, he made his third
career start a winning one with a visually impressive maiden win under a perfect trip and
ride from jockey Jose Valdivia Jr. In that race, he was allowed to patiently sit just off the
pace stalking the pace in third along the rail in the perfect spot down the backstretch. He
swung out for room into the stretch, split horses at the top of the lane, hit the front past mid
stretch, and drew away impressively in a strong victory that saw the fourth place finisher,
Fast Corredor, come back to break his maiden in his next race proving it to be productive
event. He took on winners for the first time in the Eddie Logan Stakes while being reeled
back in only sixteen days and plenty of gameness to defeat a strong field in what has
returned to be a productive “key” race event. He got a perfect trip as he was able to use his
early speed to sit just off the flank of the expected pacesetter Law Breaker pressing him in
the two path through walking early fractions for the first half mile in
24.18 seconds and a half mile in 49.60 seconds. He continued pressing the leader in the
two path around the far turn, then fought on gamely with that rival to grab the lead past mid
stretch, and held off the late rally of long shot Mystery Island to win. The final speed figure
this race earned was the result of the walking fractions and the strength of his win in the
Eddie Logan was validated when the third place finisher, Law Breaker, came back to win
Allowance N1X on the main track on January 19 and the seventh place finisher Hot Wired
came back to win $40,000 claiming event on the main track on January 18 making this
event a productive “key” event. After two races in a span of less than three weeks, this dark
bay colt by Dynaformer has wisely been given time off to recuperate explaining the thirty
five day hiatus and has continued to hold his form according to National Turf’s Andy
Harrington who covers Hollywood Park. He work five furlongs over their Cushion Track in
1:01 flat where he “moved up one a horse going in another drill finishing in his usual steady
manner, light restraint while going the last 4 furlongs in 48.3. Holding course fine.” The
stalking or pace pressing style will ensure he is all over what appears to be a moderate to
tepid early pace to ensure a clean trip and note from two mounts for trainer Carla Gaines
jockey Jose Valdivia is perfect from as many starts and hopefully that trend can continue as
this dark bay colt has the potential to continue to improve to be good enough to be on the
road to the 2007 Kentucky Derby. If he wins then hop aboard the band wagon with me.
Wagering Strategies:
Play the (7) KOLO to WIN (Minimum fair odds of 5-1 or better) Main Exactas: 7-3 and 7-6.
Small reverse.
Race 8: Thunder Road Handicap, 1-Mile Turf, Four year olds and upward BAYEUX (#8,10-1) is a horse that has found new lease on life after failing to hit the board in his first six
starts last year he went on two win four of ten starts last year including three Handicap
event over three different surfaces and concluded this excellent year by winning the G3
River City Handicap at 23-1 and makes his Southern California debut for trainer Patrick
Biancone with a good pace scenario to set up for his late kick that was so affectively in his
only victory in North America. He is adaptable to any surface or race course as evidenced
by his four wins last year. He won over the all weather surface in Wolverhampton and Ling
Field in his first two wins of last year. He came back and a six furlong sprint down a straight
at Hamilton on the turf course in his third win of last year and narrowly missed his fourth
win by a neck over at Goodwood over a right handed course to be second carrying one
hundred thirty three pounds spotting the winner nine pounds. Though he failed to capture
or finish in the money in a Group Stakes in Europe, he had solid form coming into his U.S.
debut in the G3 River City Handicap and overcame a less than ideal trip to score the length
and a half victory at 23-1 in what has returned to be a strong race. In that event, the Red
Ransom gelding found himself in congestion early racing between Erronous ID and
Courtnall tracking the leisurely early pace set by long shot Chief Export. Continuing to race
between those two horses down the backstretch and around the far turn, he angled off
them towards the outside entering the stretch spotting the leader a length and half
advantage and worn down that rival in deep stretch to pull clear covering his final three
furlongs in a excellent 35.38 seconds and covering his final furlong in
11.73 seconds. The strength of his G3 victory was validated when the third place finisher,
Ballast, captured the G3 Tropical Turf Handicap on December
2 at Calder Race Course earning a Beyer Speed Figure of 98 in the process.
Though he is making his first start off a layoff of ninety two days, he won in the River City
Handicap off a layoff of two months and finished fourth beaten only two and quarter lengths
in a twenty seven horse field off a layoff of more than six weeks back in June at Ascot.
Moreover, National Turf’s Andy Harrington has been impressed by what this bay turned in
his morning work outs to put him on his Ready to Roll list for this event. He worked five
furlongs in 59.4 on January 23 over Hollywood Park’s Cushion Track where he recorded a
“Monster drill best over Kitty Hawk (48.0) to the wire going 35.4, 59.1 finishing huge while
working 6 furlongs on out watch in 111.1. Terrific prospect,” and concluded with a sharp
half mile move in
46.4 that was the best of 31 that morning where he “Was reaching out like a good thing in
this solo 1/2 mile over looking right on edge in 35.3, 47.2.
Doing well.” Though he is winless in six starts at the one mile distance, he will receive
plenty of pace to set up for his late kick with Cervelo being forwardly placed on or close to
the pace likely set by Sweet Return with Night Chapter being forwardly placed sitting this
race ripe for a closer with class and a excellent late at Bayeux fits that profile as our long
shot most probable winner and BEST BET on the card but do not expect to get close to his
10-1 on the morning line as he is my second choice on my morning line.
Wagering Strategies:
Play the (8) BAYEUX to WIN (Minimum fair odds of 7-2 or better) Trifecta part-wheel: 8
over 1, 4, 5, 9 over 1, 4, 5, 9 = $12 for a $1 Wager Trifecta part-wheel: 1, 4, 5, 9 over 8
over 1, 4, 5, 9 = $12 for a $1 Wager
Santa Anita Race 7 Pick 4
Race 7: (1) Ravel, (3) Time Squared, (6) Liquidity, (7) Kolo Race 8: (1a) Charmo, (4) Boule
d’ Or, (8) Bayeux, (9) Toasted Race 9: (6) MIDNIGHT LUTE Race 10: (3) Jake La Gold, (7)
Hurry Home Warren, (10) Beyond the Rain
Main Ticket: 1, 3, 6, 7 / 1, 4, 8, 9 / 6 / 3, 7, 10 = 4 x 4 x 1 x 3 x $1 =
$48
PICK SIX SINGLES
BAYEUX (Race Eight, 10-1)
MIDNIGHT LUTE (Race Nine, 9-5)